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Derby County v Wrexham prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Derby County to win 40%
Derby 40% Draw 29% Wrexham 31%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.50 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games W D D L W
3–0 at SHF 1–1 v PTM 1–1 at BRC 1–2 at LEI 1–0 v MID
Wrexham All games D L W W W
2–2 v WAT 1–2 at SWA 5–3 v SHU 2–1 v PNE 2–0 at BBR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 5 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Wrexham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawWrexham
WilliamHill 2.20 3.00 3.30
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.40
bet365 2.20 3.20 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Wrexham: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Wrexham in the Championship on Sunday 4 January, and Wrexham won 1–2 away from home.

Derby County are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Middlesbrough.

Wrexham are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Blackburn Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Derby, 3.20 for the draw and 3.40 for Wrexham. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.50. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.