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Norwich City v Stoke City prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Norwich City to win 46%
Norwich 46% Draw 26% Stoke 28%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price2.15 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorwich City to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Norwich City All games W D W L W
2–1 v SOU 1–1 at PNE 1–0 v CHA 0–1 v WAT 2–1 at QPR
Stoke City All games W L D L W
2–1 v SWA 0–1 at WAT 0–0 v PNE 1–2 v SHU 1–0 at HUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Norwich City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorwichDrawStoke
WilliamHill 1.95 3.40 3.60
Betfair 1.95 3.50 3.80
bet365 1.95 3.50 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Norwich City v Stoke City: prediction and result

Norwich City hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Sunday 4 January, and Stoke City won 0–2 away from home.

Norwich City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Queens Park Rangers.

Stoke City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Hull City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Norwich, 3.50 for the draw and 3.80 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Norwich City favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Norwich City to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.15. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
0–2 FT Blackburn Rovers v Wrexham Blackburn Rovers to win 44% 2–1 FT Ipswich Town v Oxford United Ipswich Town to win 67% 3–0 FT Preston North End v Sheffield Wednesday Preston North End to win 57% 5–0 FT Bristol City v Portsmouth Bristol City to win 57% 0–0 FT Southampton v Millwall Southampton to win 47% 1–2 FT Queens Park Rangers v Norwich City Queens Park Rangers to win 47% 3–0 FT Watford v Birmingham City Watford to win 46% 0–1 FT Hull City v Stoke City Hull City to win 43%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.