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Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 47%
Plymouth 47% Draw 26% Burton 27%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price2.13 from our 47%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games W W L D D
1–0 v RTU 5–1 at DNR 1–4 v RDG 1–1 v WYC 1–1 at STV
Burton Albion All games D D W L L
0–0 v WYC 2–2 at STV 5–1 v NHT 0–2 v WIG 0–2 at RDG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawBurton
WilliamHill 1.75 3.50 4.40
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.50
bet365 1.72 3.50 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Sunday 4 January and won 3–0.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Stevenage.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Reading.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Plymouth, 3.80 for the draw and 4.75 for Burton. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.13. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.