How we got to 47%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle
All games
W
W
L
D
D
Burton Albion
All games
D
D
W
L
L
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersPlymouth Argyle v Burton Albion: prediction and result
Plymouth Argyle hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Sunday 4 January and won 3–0.
Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Stevenage.
Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Reading.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Plymouth, 3.80 for the draw and 4.75 for Burton. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.13. The pick won.
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