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Reading v Stockport County prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stockport County to win 39%
Reading 34% Draw 28% Stockport 39%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.60 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStockport County to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games L W W D W
0–2 at BDC 3–2 v LUT 4–1 at PLA 1–1 at PTU 2–0 v BRA
Stockport County All games L W L W D
1–3 v STV 2–1 at MAN 1–2 v LNC 4–2 v DNR 0–0 at NHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stockport County's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawStockport
bet365 2.50 3.30 2.70
WilliamHill 2.45 3.30 2.62
Betfair 2.45 3.30 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Stockport County: prediction and result

Reading hosted Stockport County in the League One on Sunday 4 January and won 1–0.

Reading are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Burton Albion.

Stockport County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Northampton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Reading, 3.30 for the draw and 2.70 for Stockport. The bookmakers see little between Reading and Stockport County here.

Our prediction: Stockport County to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.60, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.