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Burnley v Manchester United prediction

Wed 7 Jan, 20:15 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester United to win 53%
Burnley 22% Draw 25% Man United 53%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.89 from our 53%

How we got to 53%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 55%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 53%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L D D L L
2–3 v FUL 1–1 at BOU 0–0 v EVE 1–3 v NEW 0–2 at BHA
Manchester United All games D L W D D
4–4 v BOU 1–2 at AVL 1–0 v NEW 1–1 v WOL 1–1 at LEE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Burnley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Manchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawMan United
Betfair 4.75 3.75 1.70
WilliamHill 4.60 3.70 1.70
bet365 4.50 3.90 1.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Manchester United: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Wednesday 7 January, and it finished 2–2.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Manchester United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Leeds United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.75 for Burnley, 3.90 for the draw and 1.70 for Man United. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 56% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 55% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.89. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.