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Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Wed 7 Jan, 19:30 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester City to win 64%
Man City 64% Draw 20% Brighton 16%
Best price1.50 WilliamHill Fair price1.56 from our 64%

How we got to 64%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 63%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 66%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 64%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City All games W W W D D
3–0 at CRY 3–0 v WHU 2–1 at NFO 0–0 at SUN 1–1 v CHE
Brighton & Hove Albion All games L D L D W
0–2 at LIV 0–0 v SUN 1–2 at ARS 2–2 at WHU 2–0 v BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan CityDrawBrighton
WilliamHill 1.50 4.60 5.00
Betfair 1.50 4.60 6.00
bet365 1.50 4.50 5.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Manchester City hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Wednesday 7 January, and it finished 1–1.

Manchester City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Chelsea.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.50 for Man City, 4.60 for the draw and 6.00 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 63% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 64% chance. The market puts it at 63% and our match model at 66%, and blending those with recent form gives 64%. The best price, 1.50 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.56. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.