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Crystal Palace v Aston Villa prediction

Wed 7 Jan, 19:30 Premier League Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Aston Villa to win 40%
Crystal Palace 34% Draw 27% Aston Villa 40%
Best price2.37 bet365 Fair price2.52 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crystal Palace All games L L L D L
0–3 v MCI 1–4 at LEE 0–1 v TOT 1–1 v FUL 0–2 at NEW
Aston Villa All games W W W L W
3–2 at WHU 2–1 v MUN 2–1 at CHE 1–4 at ARS 3–1 v NFO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
WilliamHill 3.00 3.20 2.30
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.30
bet365 3.00 3.30 2.37
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crystal Palace v Aston Villa: prediction and result

Crystal Palace hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Wednesday 7 January, and it finished 0–0.

Crystal Palace are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Newcastle United.

Aston Villa are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Nottingham Forest.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Crystal Palace, 3.30 for the draw and 2.37 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.37 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.52. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.