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Newcastle United v Leeds United prediction

Wed 7 Jan, 20:15 Premier League Full time 4–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Newcastle United to win 57%
Newcastle 57% Draw 24% Leeds 19%
Best price1.65 WilliamHill Fair price1.75 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games L D L W W
0–1 at SUN 2–2 v CHE 0–1 at MUN 3–1 at BUR 2–0 v CRY
Leeds United All games D W D D D
1–1 at BRE 4–1 v CRY 1–1 at SUN 0–0 at LIV 1–1 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 5 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawLeeds
WilliamHill 1.65 3.70 5.00
Betfair 1.62 3.90 5.50
bet365 1.61 3.80 5.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Leeds United: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Wednesday 7 January and won 4–3.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Crystal Palace.

Leeds United are in decent form: 1 won, 4 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.65 for Newcastle, 3.90 for the draw and 5.75 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.65 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.75. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.