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Arsenal v Liverpool prediction

Thu 8 Jan, 20:00 Premier League Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Arsenal to win 58%
Arsenal 58% Draw 23% Liverpool 19%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.73 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 60%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal All games W W W W W
2–1 v WOL 1–0 at EVE 2–1 v BHA 4–1 v AVL 3–2 at BOU
Liverpool All games W W W D D
2–0 v BHA 2–1 at TOT 2–1 v WOL 0–0 v LEE 2–2 at FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Liverpool's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerArsenalDrawLiverpool
WilliamHill 1.57 4.00 5.00
Betfair 1.57 4.33 5.50
bet365 1.57 4.10 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Arsenal v Liverpool: prediction and result

Arsenal hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Thursday 8 January, and it finished 0–0.

Arsenal are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at AFC Bournemouth.

Liverpool are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Arsenal, 4.33 for the draw and 6.00 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 60% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.73. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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1–2 FT West Ham United v Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest to win 45% 1–1 FT Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion Manchester City to win 64% 1–1 FT Everton v Wolverhampton Wanderers Everton to win 50% 3–0 FT Brentford v Sunderland Brentford to win 47% 2–1 FT Fulham v Chelsea Chelsea to win 47% 3–2 FT AFC Bournemouth v Tottenham Hotspur AFC Bournemouth to win 43% 0–0 FT Crystal Palace v Aston Villa Aston Villa to win 40% 4–3 FT Newcastle United v Leeds United Newcastle United to win 57%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.