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Liverpool v Burnley prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 76%
Liverpool 76% Draw 15% Burnley 9%
Best price1.22 WilliamHill Fair price1.32 from our 76%

How we got to 76%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 77%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 74%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 76%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games W W D D D
2–1 at TOT 2–1 v WOL 0–0 v LEE 2–2 at FUL 0–0 at ARS
Burnley All games D D L L D
1–1 at BOU 0–0 v EVE 1–3 v NEW 0–2 at BHA 2–2 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Liverpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawBurnley
WilliamHill 1.22 6.00 11.00
bet365 1.22 6.50 12.00
Betfair 1.20 6.50 12.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Burnley: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday 17 January, and it finished 1–1.

Liverpool are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Arsenal.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.22 for Liverpool, 6.50 for the draw and 12.00 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 78% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 76% chance. The market puts it at 77% and our match model at 74%, and blending those with recent form gives 76%. The best price, 1.22 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.32. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.