How we got to 44%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United
All games
L
W
D
D
D
Manchester City
All games
W
W
D
D
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersManchester United v Manchester City: prediction and result
Manchester United hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 17 January and won 2–0.
Manchester United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Burnley.
Manchester City are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Man United, 3.60 for the draw and 2.30 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.30 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.27, so there is value in it. The pick lost.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.