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Manchester United v Manchester City prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 12:30 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester City to win 44%
Man United 30% Draw 25% Man City 44%
Best price2.30 bet365 Fair price2.27 from our 44%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United All games L W D D D
1–2 at AVL 1–0 v NEW 1–1 v WOL 1–1 at LEE 2–2 at BUR
Manchester City All games W W D D D
3–0 v WHU 2–1 at NFO 0–0 at SUN 1–1 v CHE 1–1 v BHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 4 of Manchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawMan City
WilliamHill 2.90 3.60 2.20
Betfair 2.90 3.50 2.25
bet365 2.90 3.60 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester United v Manchester City: prediction and result

Manchester United hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 17 January and won 2–0.

Manchester United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Burnley.

Manchester City are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Man United, 3.60 for the draw and 2.30 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.30 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.27, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.