How we got to 38%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland
All games
D
D
D
D
L
Crystal Palace
All games
L
L
D
L
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersSunderland v Crystal Palace: prediction and result
Sunderland hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday 17 January and won 2–1.
Sunderland are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Brentford.
Crystal Palace are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Aston Villa.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Sunderland, 3.20 for the draw and 3.10 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make Sunderland favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Sunderland to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.66. The pick won.
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All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.