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Sunderland v Crystal Palace prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Sunderland to win 38%
Sunderland 38% Draw 29% Crystal Palace 33%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.66 from our 38%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSunderland to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games D D D D L
0–0 at BHA 1–1 v LEE 0–0 v MCI 1–1 at TOT 0–3 at BRE
Crystal Palace All games L L D L D
1–4 at LEE 0–1 v TOT 1–1 v FUL 0–2 at NEW 0–0 v AVL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Crystal Palace's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawCrystal Palace
WilliamHill 2.40 3.00 3.10
Betfair 2.40 3.00 3.10
bet365 2.40 3.20 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v Crystal Palace: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday 17 January and won 2–1.

Sunderland are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Brentford.

Crystal Palace are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Aston Villa.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Sunderland, 3.20 for the draw and 3.10 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make Sunderland favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Sunderland to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.66. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.