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Aston Villa v Everton prediction

Sun 18 Jan, 16:30 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Aston Villa to win 59%
Aston Villa 59% Draw 24% Everton 17%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.69 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 60%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa All games W W L W D
2–1 v MUN 2–1 at CHE 1–4 at ARS 3–1 v NFO 0–0 at CRY
Everton All games L D W L D
0–1 v ARS 0–0 at BUR 2–0 at NFO 2–4 v BRE 1–1 v WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Everton's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawEverton
WilliamHill 1.62 3.75 5.50
bet365 1.61 3.90 5.75
Betfair 1.60 4.00 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v Everton: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted Everton in the Premier League on Sunday 18 January, and Everton won 0–1 away from home.

Aston Villa are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Crystal Palace.

Everton are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Aston Villa, 4.00 for the draw and 5.75 for Everton. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.69. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.