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Preston North End v Derby County prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Preston North End to win 42%
Preston North End 42% Draw 30% Derby 29%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.41 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePreston North End to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Preston North End All games D D L W W
1–1 v NOR 0–0 at STK 1–2 at WXH 3–0 v SHF 2–0 at BSC
Derby County All games D D L W L
1–1 v PTM 1–1 at BRC 1–2 at LEI 1–0 v MID 1–2 v WXH

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 5 of Preston North End's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Derby County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPreston North EndDrawDerby
WilliamHill 2.30 2.90 3.25
bet365 2.25 3.10 3.40
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Preston North End v Derby County: prediction and result

Preston North End hosted Derby County in the Championship on Saturday 17 January, and Derby County won 0–1 away from home.

Preston North End are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Bristol City.

Derby County are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Wrexham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Preston North End, 3.10 for the draw and 3.40 for Derby. The bookmakers make Preston North End favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Preston North End to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.41. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.