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Swansea City v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 17:30 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swansea City to win 37%
Swansea 37% Draw 28% Birmingham 35%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.70 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwansea City to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games W L W W L
2–1 v WXH 0–1 at CVC 1–0 at OXF 1–0 v WBA 1–2 at MLW
Birmingham City All games L D D L W
0–3 at SHU 1–1 v DRB 1–1 v SOU 0–3 at WAT 3–2 v CVC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Swansea City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Birmingham City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawBirmingham
bet365 2.70 3.20 2.70
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.63
WilliamHill 2.50 3.10 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 17 January, and it finished 1–1.

Swansea City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Millwall.

Birmingham City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Coventry City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Swansea, 3.20 for the draw and 2.70 for Birmingham. The bookmakers see little between Swansea City and Birmingham City here.

Our prediction: Swansea City to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.70, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.