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Brighton & Hove Albion v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Mon 19 Jan, 20:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 52%
Brighton 52% Draw 25% AFC Bournemouth 23%
Best price2.00 Betfair Fair price1.92 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 58%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion All games D L D W D
0–0 v SUN 1–2 at ARS 2–2 at WHU 2–0 v BUR 1–1 at MCI
AFC Bournemouth All games D L D L W
1–1 v BUR 1–4 at BRE 2–2 at CHE 2–3 v ARS 3–2 v TOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrightonDrawAFC Bournemouth
Betfair 2.00 3.70 3.70
bet365 1.95 3.75 3.60
WilliamHill 1.91 3.70 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brighton & Hove Albion v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Monday 19 January, and it finished 1–1.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Manchester City.

AFC Bournemouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Tottenham Hotspur.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Brighton, 3.75 for the draw and 3.70 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 58%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 2.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.