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Reading v Barnsley prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Reading to win 44%
Reading 44% Draw 26% Barnsley 30%
Best price2.25 Betfair Fair price2.27 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games W D W W L
4–1 at PLA 1–1 at PTU 2–0 v BRA 1–0 v STO 1–3 at LEY
Barnsley All games L L L D W
0–3 at EXE 2–3 v MAN 0–2 v LNC 1–1 at WIG 2–1 v BLK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Barnsley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawBarnsley
Betfair 2.25 3.25 3.00
bet365 2.25 3.60 2.90
WilliamHill 2.20 3.40 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Barnsley: prediction and result

Reading hosted Barnsley in the League One on Saturday 24 January, and it finished 2–2.

Reading are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Leyton Orient.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Blackpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Reading, 3.60 for the draw and 3.00 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Reading favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.27. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.