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Stevenage v Mansfield Town prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stevenage to win 40%
Stevenage 40% Draw 30% Mansfield 30%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.52 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games L D L L D
1–2 at CDF 1–1 v PLA 1–2 at LUT 0–3 at EXE 0–0 v BOL
Mansfield Town All games L W W W W
1–2 v STO 3–2 at BRS 1–0 at BOL 3–0 v BDC 3–0 v PTV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Mansfield Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawMansfield
Betfair 2.38 3.00 3.00
WilliamHill 2.25 3.00 3.20
bet365 2.20 3.10 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Mansfield Town: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Mansfield Town in the League One on Saturday 24 January, and it finished 1–1.

Stevenage are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Bolton Wanderers.

Mansfield Town are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Port Vale.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.38 for Stevenage, 3.10 for the draw and 3.40 for Mansfield. The bookmakers make Stevenage favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.52. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.