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Sunderland v Burnley prediction

Mon 2 Feb, 20:00 Premier League Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Sunderland to win 51%
Sunderland 51% Draw 28% Burnley 21%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price1.97 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSunderland to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games D D L W L
0–0 v MCI 1–1 at TOT 0–3 at BRE 2–1 v CRY 1–3 at WHU
Burnley All games L L D D D
1–3 v NEW 0–2 at BHA 2–2 v MUN 1–1 at LIV 2–2 v TOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawBurnley
WilliamHill 1.91 3.10 4.33
Betfair 1.90 3.20 4.50
bet365 1.90 3.30 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v Burnley: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Monday 2 February and won 3–0.

Sunderland are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at West Ham United.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Sunderland, 3.30 for the draw and 4.50 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Sunderland favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Sunderland to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.97. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.