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Barnet v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Tue 3 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barnet to win 57%
Barnet 57% Draw 24% Crewe 20%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.76 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnet to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnet All games W L W W D
2–1 v CRT 0–1 at GBT 3–2 v OAT 1–0 v TRR 0–0 at SHT
Crewe Alexandra All games D W L D W
1–1 v HAT 3–1 v BRW 0–1 at NOT 2–2 at BMY 1–0 v CLU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Barnet's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnetDrawCrewe
WilliamHill 1.57 3.80 5.00
bet365 1.57 3.90 5.50
Betfair 1.55 4.00 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnet v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Barnet hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Tuesday 3 February, and it finished 1–1.

Barnet are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Shrewsbury Town.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Colchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Barnet, 4.00 for the draw and 5.50 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Barnet favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnet to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.76. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.