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Accrington Stanley v Salford City prediction

Thu 5 Feb, 20:01 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Salford City to win 40%
Accrington 33% Draw 26% Salford 40%
Best price3.75 Betfair Fair price2.47 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSalford City to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games W L D W W
1–0 at NOT 0–2 v MKD 0–0 at WSL 4–1 at NPT 3–1 v CTT
Salford City All games W W W L W
2–1 at BRW 3–2 at SWI 1–0 v BRR 0–1 v CST 2–0 at TRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Salford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawSalford
bet365 3.30 3.50 2.05
WilliamHill 3.10 3.30 2.10
Betfair 1.83 3.75 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Salford City: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Salford City in the League Two on Thursday 5 February and won 1–0.

Accrington Stanley are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Cheltenham Town.

Salford City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Tranmere Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.30 for Accrington, 3.75 for the draw and 3.75 for Salford. The bookmakers see little between Accrington Stanley and the draw here.

Our prediction: Salford City to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 3.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.47, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.