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Crawley Town v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 12:31 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crawley Town to win 41%
Crawley 41% Draw 26% Crewe 33%
Best price2.25 Betfair Fair price2.41 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrawley Town to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crawley Town All games L L W D W
0–3 at CTT 1–2 v NOT 1–0 at BRW 0–0 at WSL 2–0 v HAT
Crewe Alexandra All games W L D W D
3–1 v BRW 0–1 at NOT 2–2 at BMY 1–0 v CLU 1–1 at BNT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 5 of Crawley Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrawleyDrawCrewe
Betfair 2.25 3.50 2.75
WilliamHill 2.20 3.50 2.90
bet365 2.20 3.60 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crawley Town v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Crawley Town hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Saturday 7 February, and Crewe Alexandra won 0–1 away from home.

Crawley Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Harrogate Town.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Barnet.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Crawley, 3.60 for the draw and 2.90 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Crawley Town favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crawley Town to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.41. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.