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Notts County v Gillingham prediction

Tue 3 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 46%
Notts 46% Draw 27% Gillingham 26%
Best price2.00 bet365 Fair price2.17 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games L W W W W
0–1 v ACC 2–1 at CRT 1–0 v CAX 2–1 v SWI 2–1 at FLT
Gillingham All games D L W W L
1–1 v CLU 0–2 at SWI 3–2 v NPT 3–0 at HAT 1–4 v BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Notts County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Gillingham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawGillingham
bet365 2.00 3.20 3.75
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.60
WilliamHill 1.80 3.40 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Gillingham: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Gillingham in the League Two on Tuesday 3 February and won 1–0.

Notts County are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Fleetwood Town.

Gillingham are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat at home to Bromley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Notts, 3.40 for the draw and 3.75 for Gillingham. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.00 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.17. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.