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Liverpool v Manchester City prediction

Sun 8 Feb, 16:30 Premier League Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 47%
Liverpool 47% Draw 24% Man City 29%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games D D D L W
2–2 at FUL 0–0 at ARS 1–1 v BUR 2–3 at BOU 4–1 v NEW
Manchester City All games D D L W D
1–1 v CHE 1–1 v BHA 0–2 at MUN 2–0 v WOL 2–2 at TOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 4 of Liverpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawMan City
WilliamHill 2.25 3.60 2.80
Betfair 2.10 3.75 3.00
bet365 2.10 3.90 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Manchester City: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Sunday 8 February, and Manchester City won 1–2 away from home.

Liverpool are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Newcastle United.

Manchester City are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Tottenham Hotspur.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Liverpool, 3.90 for the draw and 3.00 for Man City. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.12, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →
3–1 FT Leeds United v Nottingham Forest Leeds United to win 43% 2–0 FT Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United to win 59% 3–0 FT Arsenal v Sunderland Arsenal to win 74% 1–3 FT Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea Chelsea to win 59% 1–2 FT Fulham v Everton Fulham to win 48% 1–1 FT AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa Aston Villa to win 40% 0–2 FT Burnley v West Ham United West Ham United to win 38% 2–3 FT Newcastle United v Brentford Newcastle United to win 50%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.