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Leicester City v Southampton prediction

Tue 10 Feb, 19:45 Championship Full time 3–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Leicester City to win 38%
Leicester 38% Draw 26% Southampton 36%
Best price2.80 bet365 Fair price2.61 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeicester City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leicester City All games L D L L L
1–2 at CVC 1–1 at WXH 1–2 v OXF 0–2 v CHA 1–2 at BRC
Southampton All games L W D W W
1–2 v HUL 1–0 v SHU 1–1 at PTM 2–0 at STK 1–0 v WAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes63% Both teams scored in 5 of Leicester City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Southampton's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeicesterDrawSouthampton
bet365 2.80 3.30 2.45
WilliamHill 2.75 3.30 2.40
Betfair 1.62 3.75 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leicester City v Southampton: prediction and result

Leicester City hosted Southampton in the Championship on Tuesday 10 February, and Southampton won 3–4 away from home.

Leicester City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Birmingham City.

Southampton are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Watford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Leicester, 3.75 for the draw and 4.50 for Southampton. The bookmakers make Leicester City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leicester City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.80 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.61, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.