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Derby County v Swansea City prediction

Sat 14 Feb, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Derby County to win 36%
Derby 36% Draw 28% Swansea 36%
Best price2.50 WilliamHill Fair price2.76 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games W W D W L
1–0 at PNE 2–1 at CHA 1–1 v WBA 5–0 at BSC 1–2 v IPS
Swansea City All games D W L W W
1–1 v BRC 3–1 v BBR 1–2 at HUL 2–0 at WAT 4–0 v SHF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 5 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Swansea City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawSwansea
WilliamHill 2.50 3.00 2.80
bet365 2.45 3.20 2.87
Betfair 2.38 3.25 2.88
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Swansea City: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Saturday 14 February and won 2–0.

Derby County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Ipswich Town.

Swansea City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Sheffield Wednesday.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Derby, 3.25 for the draw and 2.88 for Swansea. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 38% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.50 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.76. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.