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Oxford United v Norwich City prediction

Tue 10 Feb, 19:45 Championship Full time 0–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Norwich City to win 41%
Oxford 31% Draw 28% Norwich 41%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.44 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorwich City to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United All games D W L L D
0–0 v QPR 2–1 at LEI 0–2 v BRC 1–3 at SHU 0–0 at CVC
Norwich City All games W W W L W
2–1 at WXH 5–0 at WBA 2–1 v CVC 0–1 at MID 2–0 v BBR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Oxford United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Norwich City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawNorwich
bet365 3.00 3.20 2.37
WilliamHill 2.90 3.00 2.45
Betfair 2.90 3.00 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oxford United v Norwich City: prediction and result

Oxford United hosted Norwich City in the Championship on Tuesday 10 February, and Norwich City won 0–3 away from home.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Coventry City.

Norwich City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Blackburn Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Oxford, 3.20 for the draw and 2.45 for Norwich. The bookmakers make Norwich City favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Norwich City to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.44, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.