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Charlton Athletic v Stoke City prediction

Wed 11 Feb, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Charlton Athletic to win 36%
Charlton 36% Draw 30% Stoke 34%
Best price2.80 Betfair Fair price2.75 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCharlton Athletic to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Charlton Athletic All games W L L W D
1–0 v SHU 1–2 v DRB 0–4 at MLW 2–0 at LEI 0–0 v QPR
Stoke City All games D L D L D
0–0 v QPR 1–2 v MID 1–1 at BRC 0–2 v SOU 0–0 at WBA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes44% Both teams scored in 3 of Charlton Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCharltonDrawStoke
Betfair 2.80 2.90 2.80
bet365 2.80 3.00 2.70
WilliamHill 2.70 2.80 2.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Charlton Athletic v Stoke City: prediction and result

Charlton Athletic hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Wednesday 11 February and won 1–0.

Charlton Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Queens Park Rangers.

Stoke City are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at West Bromwich Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Charlton, 3.00 for the draw and 2.80 for Stoke. The bookmakers see little between Charlton Athletic and Stoke City here.

Our prediction: Charlton Athletic to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.80 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.75, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.