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Grimsby Town v Accrington Stanley prediction

Wed 11 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Grimsby Town to win 49%
Grimsby 49% Draw 26% Accrington 25%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price2.02 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGrimsby Town to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Grimsby Town All games W W W D D
1–0 v BNT 2–0 at CTT 1–0 at CLU 2–2 v MKD 0–0 at NPT
Accrington Stanley All games L D W W W
0–2 v MKD 0–0 at WSL 4–1 at NPT 3–1 v CTT 1–0 v SAL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Grimsby Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGrimsbyDrawAccrington
WilliamHill 1.85 3.40 3.90
Betfair 1.85 3.60 4.33
bet365 1.85 3.60 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Grimsby Town v Accrington Stanley: prediction and result

Grimsby Town hosted Accrington Stanley in the League Two on Wednesday 11 February and won 1–0.

Grimsby Town are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Newport County.

Accrington Stanley are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Salford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Grimsby, 3.60 for the draw and 4.33 for Accrington. The bookmakers make Grimsby Town favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Grimsby Town to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.02. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.