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Swindon Town v Newport County prediction

Wed 11 Feb, 20:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swindon Town to win 61%
Swindon 61% Draw 23% Newport 16%
Best price1.73 Betfair Fair price1.64 from our 61%

How we got to 61%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 60%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 63%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 61%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games L L W W W
1–2 at BMY 1–2 at NOT 3–1 v BRW 1–0 at HAT 3–0 v OAT
Newport County All games L W L L D
2–3 at GLG 2–1 v CST 1–4 v ACC 0–3 at BRR 0–0 v GBT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawNewport
Betfair 1.73 3.50 4.50
bet365 1.48 4.10 6.50
WilliamHill 1.44 4.20 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Newport County: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Newport County in the League Two on Wednesday 11 February and won 2–0.

Swindon Town are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Oldham Athletic.

Newport County are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Grimsby Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.73 for Swindon, 4.20 for the draw and 6.50 for Newport. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 61% chance. The market puts it at 60% and our match model at 63%, and blending those with recent form gives 61%. The best price, 1.73 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.