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Milton Keynes Dons v Newport County prediction

Sat 14 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Milton Keynes Dons to win 71%
Milton Keynes 71% Draw 17% Newport 11%
Best price1.33 WilliamHill Fair price1.40 from our 71%

How we got to 71%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 76%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 64%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 71%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Milton Keynes Dons All games W W W D W
2–0 at ACC 5–1 v SHT 1–0 v BRR 2–2 at GBT 3–2 at CTT
Newport County All games W L L D L
2–1 v CST 1–4 v ACC 0–3 at BRR 0–0 v GBT 0–2 at SWI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMilton KeynesDrawNewport
WilliamHill 1.33 4.80 8.50
bet365 1.33 5.25 8.00
Betfair 1.07 11.00 26.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Milton Keynes Dons v Newport County: prediction and result

Milton Keynes Dons hosted Newport County in the League Two on Saturday 14 February and won 1–0.

Milton Keynes Dons are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at Cheltenham Town.

Newport County are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Swindon Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.33 for Milton Keynes, 11.00 for the draw and 26.00 for Newport. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 85% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 71% chance. The market puts it at 76% and our match model at 64%, and blending those with recent form gives 71%. The best price, 1.33 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.40. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.