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Barrow v Colchester United prediction

Sat 14 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Colchester United to win 44%
Barrow 29% Draw 27% Colchester 44%
Best price2.20 bet365 Fair price2.29 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barrow All games L L L L L
1–3 at CAX 0–1 v CRT 1–3 at SWI 1–2 at NOT 1–2 at SHT
Colchester United All games W W L L W
1–0 at BRR 2–1 v FLT 0–1 v GBT 0–1 at CAX 2–0 v SHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Barrow's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Colchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarrowDrawColchester
Betfair 3.25 3.25 2.10
bet365 3.20 3.30 2.20
WilliamHill 3.10 3.20 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barrow v Colchester United: prediction and result

Barrow hosted Colchester United in the League Two on Saturday 14 February and won 1–0.

Barrow are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Shrewsbury Town.

Colchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Shrewsbury Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Barrow, 3.30 for the draw and 2.20 for Colchester. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.20 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.29. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.