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Crewe Alexandra v Gillingham prediction

Sat 14 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Crewe Alexandra to win 38%
Crewe 38% Draw 28% Gillingham 34%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.64 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games L D W D W
0–1 at NOT 2–2 at BMY 1–0 v CLU 1–1 at BNT 1–0 at CRT
Gillingham All games W W L L W
3–2 v NPT 3–0 at HAT 1–4 v BMY 0–1 at NOT 2–1 v TRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 5 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Gillingham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawGillingham
WilliamHill 2.45 3.10 2.75
bet365 2.45 3.20 2.80
Betfair 2.38 3.25 2.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Gillingham: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Gillingham in the League Two on Saturday 14 February and won 1–0.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Crawley Town.

Gillingham are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Tranmere Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Crewe, 3.25 for the draw and 2.80 for Gillingham. The bookmakers see little between Crewe Alexandra and Gillingham here.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.64. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.