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Barnet v Swindon Town prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barnet to win 51%
Barnet 51% Draw 25% Swindon 24%
Best price1.75 bet365 Fair price1.97 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnet to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnet All games W D D W D
1–0 v TRR 0–0 at SHT 1–1 v CAX 3–1 at WSL 0–0 v CTT
Swindon Town All games W W W W L
3–1 v BRW 1–0 at HAT 3–0 v OAT 2–0 v NPT 1–3 at SHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Barnet's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Swindon Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnetDrawSwindon
bet365 1.75 3.75 4.33
WilliamHill 1.73 3.60 4.20
Betfair 1.70 3.75 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnet v Swindon Town: prediction and result

Barnet hosted Swindon Town in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February, and Swindon Town won 1–2 away from home.

Barnet are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Cheltenham Town.

Swindon Town are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Shrewsbury Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Barnet, 3.75 for the draw and 4.33 for Swindon. The bookmakers make Barnet favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnet to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.75 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.97. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.