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Salford City v Newport County prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Salford City to win 69%
Salford 69% Draw 19% Newport 12%
Best price1.33 WilliamHill Fair price1.45 from our 69%

How we got to 69%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 70%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 67%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSalford City to win 69%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Salford City All games W W L W L
3–2 at SWI 1–0 v BRR 0–1 v CST 2–0 at TRR 0–1 at ACC
Newport County All games L L D L L
1–4 v ACC 0–3 at BRR 0–0 v GBT 0–2 at SWI 0–1 at MKD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 2 of Salford City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Newport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSalfordDrawNewport
WilliamHill 1.33 4.80 7.50
bet365 1.33 5.00 9.00
Betfair 1.29 5.00 9.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Salford City v Newport County: prediction and result

Salford City hosted Newport County in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February, and Newport County won 1–3 away from home.

Salford City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Accrington Stanley.

Newport County are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Milton Keynes Dons.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.33 for Salford, 5.00 for the draw and 9.00 for Newport. The bookmakers make Salford City favourites, at about 71% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Salford City to win, with a 69% chance. The market puts it at 70% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 69%. The best price, 1.33 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.45. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.