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Chesterfield v Gillingham prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chesterfield to win 45%
Chesterfield 45% Draw 28% Gillingham 27%
Best price2.10 bet365 Fair price2.24 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chesterfield All games L W D W D
1–2 at NPT 1–0 at SAL 2–2 v WSL 3–2 at BRR 1–1 v HAT
Gillingham All games W L L W L
3–0 at HAT 1–4 v BMY 0–1 at NOT 2–1 v TRR 0–1 at CAX

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 3 of Chesterfield's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Gillingham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChesterfieldDrawGillingham
bet365 2.10 3.40 3.40
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.25
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chesterfield v Gillingham: prediction and result

Chesterfield hosted Gillingham in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February and won 1–0.

Chesterfield are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Harrogate Town.

Gillingham are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Crewe Alexandra.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Chesterfield, 3.40 for the draw and 3.40 for Gillingham. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.10 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.24. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.