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Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Milton Keynes Dons to win 58%
Milton Keynes 58% Draw 23% Crawley 19%
Best price1.57 bet365 Fair price1.72 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Milton Keynes Dons All games W W D W W
5–1 v SHT 1–0 v BRR 2–2 at GBT 3–2 at CTT 1–0 v NPT
Crawley Town All games D W L L L
0–0 at WSL 2–0 v HAT 0–1 v CAX 0–3 v CMU 0–2 at TRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Crawley Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMilton KeynesDrawCrawley
bet365 1.57 4.00 5.25
WilliamHill 1.55 3.90 5.00
Betfair 1.53 3.90 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Milton Keynes Dons hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February, and it finished 0–0.

Milton Keynes Dons are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Newport County.

Crawley Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Tranmere Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Milton Keynes, 4.00 for the draw and 5.50 for Crawley. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.57 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.72. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.