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Burton Albion v Rotherham United prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Burton Albion to win 43%
Burton 43% Draw 27% Rotherham 30%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.30 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurton Albion to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games L L D L D
1–2 at LNC 1–2 at BOL 2–2 v CDF 1–2 v DNR 2–2 at PTV
Rotherham United All games L D W W L
2–3 at STO 1–1 v AWM 2–1 v NHT 4–0 at EXE 0–3 v CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Burton Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Rotherham United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawRotherham
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.50
bet365 2.00 3.40 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Rotherham United: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Rotherham United in the League One on Tuesday 17 February and won 1–0.

Burton Albion are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Port Vale.

Rotherham United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Cardiff City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Burton, 3.40 for the draw and 3.60 for Rotherham. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.30. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.