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Stevenage v Port Vale prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Stevenage to win 49%
Stevenage 49% Draw 30% Port Vale 21%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price2.03 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games D W L L W
1–1 v MAN 1–0 v PTU 1–3 at BRS 1–3 at NHT 1–0 v HDD
Port Vale All games L L W L D
0–3 at MAN 1–3 v EXE 1–0 at LEY 0–1 v AWM 2–2 v BRA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes38% Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Port Vale's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawPort Vale
WilliamHill 1.75 3.10 5.00
bet365 1.75 3.20 5.50
Betfair 1.70 3.20 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Port Vale: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Port Vale in the League One on Tuesday 17 February and won 2–1.

Stevenage are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Huddersfield Town.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Burton Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Stevenage, 3.20 for the draw and 5.50 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Stevenage favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.03. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.