Lincoln City v Northampton Town prediction

Lincoln City hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Tuesday 17 February and won 4–0.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Bolton Wanderers.

Northampton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Exeter City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.38 for Lincoln, 4.60 for the draw and 8.50 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 68% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 64% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 58%, and blending those with recent form gives 64%. The best price, 1.38 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.57. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table