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Cardiff City v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League One Full time 4–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 64%
Cardiff 64% Draw 21% AFC Wimbledon 15%
Best price1.36 WilliamHill Fair price1.56 from our 64%

How we got to 64%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 68%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 58%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 64%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games D W D W W
1–1 v STO 4–0 v BRS 2–2 at BRA 3–0 at RTU 3–1 v LUT
AFC Wimbledon All games D L W W D
1–1 at RTU 0–1 v BOL 1–0 at PTV 3–2 v RDG 3–3 at BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Cardiff City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawAFC Wimbledon
WilliamHill 1.36 4.50 7.50
bet365 1.36 4.75 7.50
Betfair 1.33 4.75 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Tuesday 17 February and won 4–1.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Luton Town.

AFC Wimbledon are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw away at Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.36 for Cardiff, 4.75 for the draw and 8.00 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 69% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 64% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 58%, and blending those with recent form gives 64%. The best price, 1.36 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.56. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.