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Exeter City v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 1–5
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bolton Wanderers to win 43%
Exeter 29% Draw 28% Bolton 43%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.30 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games L D D D D
0–4 v RTU 0–0 at MAN 0–0 v NHT 1–1 v WYC 3–3 at PTU
Bolton Wanderers All games W W D D D
1–0 at AWM 3–2 v BRS 1–1 at LNC 1–1 at RDG 2–2 v BLK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 1 of Exeter City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawBolton
WilliamHill 3.25 3.30 2.10
Betfair 3.25 3.40 2.05
bet365 3.25 3.50 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 28 February, and Bolton Wanderers won 1–5 away from home.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw away at Peterborough United.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Blackpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Exeter, 3.50 for the draw and 2.10 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.30. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.