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Port Vale v Luton Town prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 38%
Port Vale 34% Draw 28% Luton 38%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.60 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games L D L D W
0–1 v AWM 2–2 v BRA 1–2 at STV 1–1 v RDG 1–0 at NHT
Luton Town All games W W L L D
1–0 v BLK 2–1 v BDC 1–3 at CDF 0–1 at WIG 1–1 v BRA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Port Vale's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Luton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawLuton
Betfair 3.10 3.10 2.20
WilliamHill 3.00 3.20 2.30
bet365 3.00 3.30 2.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v Luton Town: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted Luton Town in the League One on Saturday 28 February, and it finished 1–1.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Northampton Town.

Luton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Burton Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Port Vale, 3.30 for the draw and 2.30 for Luton. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.60. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.