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Rotherham United v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 37%
Rotherham 36% Draw 26% Plymouth 37%
Best price5.00 Betfair Fair price2.67 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Rotherham United All games W L L L L
4–0 at EXE 0–3 v CDF 0–1 at BRA 1–2 v DNR 0–1 at BDC
Plymouth Argyle All games L L W W W
1–2 at STO 1–4 v LNC 4–0 at BLK 3–1 at LEY 5–2 v CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 4 of Rotherham United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerRotherhamDrawPlymouth
WilliamHill 3.10 3.40 2.15
bet365 3.10 3.50 2.15
Betfair 1.73 3.50 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Rotherham United v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Rotherham United hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Saturday 28 February and won 1–0.

Rotherham United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Bradford City.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 5–2 win at home to Cardiff City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Rotherham, 3.50 for the draw and 5.00 for Plymouth. The bookmakers see little between Rotherham United and the draw here.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 5.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.67, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.