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Exeter City v Burton Albion prediction

Tue 3 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Exeter City to win 43%
Exeter 43% Draw 28% Burton 30%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.34 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceExeter City to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games D D D D L
0–0 at MAN 0–0 v NHT 1–1 v WYC 3–3 at PTU 1–5 v BOL
Burton Albion All games D W D W L
2–2 at PTV 1–0 v RTU 1–1 at LUT 3–0 v STO 0–3 at WYC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawBurton
WilliamHill 2.25 3.25 2.90
Betfair 2.20 3.30 3.00
bet365 2.20 3.30 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Tuesday 3 March, and it finished 1–1.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–5 defeat at home to Bolton Wanderers.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Wycombe Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Exeter, 3.30 for the draw and 3.10 for Burton. The bookmakers make Exeter City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Exeter City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.34. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.