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Luton Town v Reading prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 52%
Luton 52% Draw 26% Reading 22%
Best price1.80 Betfair Fair price1.92 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games W L L D D
2–1 v BDC 1–3 at CDF 0–1 at WIG 1–1 v BRA 1–1 at PTV
Reading All games W W D D W
2–1 at WIG 3–2 v WYC 1–1 v BOL 1–1 at PTV 2–1 v BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Reading's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawReading
Betfair 1.80 3.70 4.40
bet365 1.75 3.70 4.50
WilliamHill 1.73 3.60 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Reading: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Reading in the League One on Saturday 7 March, and Reading won 2–3 away from home.

Luton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Port Vale.

Reading are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.80 for Luton, 3.70 for the draw and 4.50 for Reading. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.80 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.92. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.