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Barnsley v Exeter City prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Barnsley to win 50%
Barnsley 50% Draw 24% Exeter 26%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price1.99 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnsley to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnsley All games D W L W L
3–3 v AWM 2–1 v PTU 1–2 at HDD 3–1 at LEY 0–1 v WYC
Exeter City All games D D D L D
0–0 v NHT 1–1 v WYC 3–3 at PTU 1–5 v BOL 1–1 v BRA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 5 of Barnsley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnsleyDrawExeter
WilliamHill 2.05 3.50 3.10
bet365 2.05 3.75 3.20
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnsley v Exeter City: prediction and result

Barnsley hosted Exeter City in the League One on Saturday 7 March and won 2–1.

Barnsley are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Burton Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Barnsley, 5.00 for the draw and 7.50 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Barnsley favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnsley to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
1–1 FT Exeter City v Burton Albion Exeter City to win 43% 0–0 FT Rotherham United v Mansfield Town Rotherham United to win 38% 0–1 FT Barnsley v Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers to win 37% 1–0 FT Huddersfield Town v Rotherham United Huddersfield Town to win 58% 0–2 FT Cardiff City v Lincoln City Cardiff City to win 47% 2–1 FT Bradford City v Leyton Orient Bradford City to win 52% 2–3 FT Luton Town v Reading Luton Town to win 52% 3–2 FT Bolton Wanderers v Wycombe Wanderers Bolton Wanderers to win 49%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.