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Cardiff City v Lincoln City prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 12:30 League One Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Cardiff City to win 47%
Cardiff 47% Draw 27% Lincoln 27%
Best price2.15 WilliamHill Fair price2.14 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games W W W L W
3–0 at RTU 3–1 v LUT 4–1 v AWM 2–5 at PLA 4–0 at DNR
Lincoln City All games W D W W W
4–1 at PLA 1–1 v BOL 4–0 v NHT 2–0 at MAN 4–0 v BLK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 4 of Cardiff City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Lincoln City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawLincoln
WilliamHill 2.15 3.10 3.25
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.50
bet365 2.00 3.30 3.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Lincoln City: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Saturday 7 March, and Lincoln City won 0–2 away from home.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 16 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win away at Doncaster Rovers.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 15 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Blackpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Cardiff, 3.30 for the draw and 3.70 for Lincoln. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.14, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.