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Charlton Athletic v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Birmingham City to win 45%
Charlton 28% Draw 27% Birmingham 45%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.24 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Charlton Athletic All games W L D D L
1–0 v STK 1–3 v PTM 1–1 at SOU 1–1 at WBA 0–1 v WXH
Birmingham City All games W D W L L
2–1 v LEI 0–0 v WBA 2–1 at NOR 0–3 at MLW 1–3 v MID

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Charlton Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Birmingham City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCharltonDrawBirmingham
bet365 3.90 3.30 1.95
WilliamHill 3.60 3.30 2.00
Betfair 3.50 3.25 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Charlton Athletic v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Charlton Athletic hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 7 March and won 1–0.

Charlton Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Wrexham.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Middlesbrough.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.90 for Charlton, 3.30 for the draw and 2.00 for Birmingham. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.24. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.