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Hull City v Millwall prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Millwall to win 43%
Hull 30% Draw 27% Millwall 43%
Best price2.38 WilliamHill Fair price2.35 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Hull City All games L L W W L
2–3 v BSC 1–3 v QPR 4–2 v DRB 1–0 at PTM 0–1 at IPS
Millwall All games W W L W W
2–0 at WXH 2–1 at SHF 1–3 v PTM 3–0 v BRC 2–0 at PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 4 of Hull City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Millwall's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerHullDrawMillwall
bet365 3.00 3.30 2.35
WilliamHill 2.90 3.20 2.38
Betfair 2.88 3.30 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Hull City v Millwall: prediction and result

Hull City hosted Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 7 March, and Millwall won 1–3 away from home.

Hull City are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Ipswich Town.

Millwall are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Preston North End.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Hull, 3.30 for the draw and 2.38 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.38 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.35, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–0 FT Ipswich Town v Hull City Ipswich Town to win 61% 1–3 FT Preston North End v Oxford United Preston North End to win 43% 1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers to win 38% 2–1 FT Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday Derby County to win 67% 1–1 FT Ipswich Town v Leicester City Ipswich Town to win 63% 1–1 FT Sheffield United v West Bromwich Albion Sheffield United to win 57% 2–0 FT Swansea City v Stoke City Swansea City to win 50% 1–0 FT Charlton Athletic v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 45%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.